Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 7.406175 8.551609 9.776296 11.178764 12.735881 14.407189 16.332105
2025-03-16 5.456400 6.949078 8.665723 10.768291 13.255544 16.085296 19.528311
2025-03-23 4.480177 6.233824 8.384986 11.175762 14.655254 18.803831 24.073382
2025-03-30 3.598944 5.460688 7.890338 11.215808 15.563962 20.967313 28.090634
2025-04-06 2.762788 4.583962 7.114392 10.764928 15.760473 22.213406 31.015541
2025-04-13 2.108957 3.831397 6.378553 10.244805 15.767351 23.160255 33.560822
2025-04-20 1.835041 3.593329 6.328328 10.649847 17.030791 25.807471 38.443279
2025-04-27 1.703233 3.555711 6.562265 11.472491 18.919683 29.386629 44.732695
2025-05-04 1.547624 3.446507 6.661367 12.083883 20.522663 32.628980 50.684811
2025-05-11 1.319667 3.162906 6.434626 12.151798 21.300133 34.714545 55.085962
2025-05-18 1.074287 2.794894 6.011392 11.849543 21.469672 35.900699 58.227597
2025-05-25 0.881317 2.489341 5.652506 11.607332 21.695783 37.154257 61.485415
2025-06-01 0.744760 2.280091 5.451808 11.631404 22.373094 39.155486 65.985133
2025-06-08 0.611304 2.045066 5.167618 11.476221 22.739007 40.690393 69.847705
2025-06-15 0.565217 2.013893 5.287390 12.067412 24.392318 44.300770 76.979203
2025-06-22 0.487246 1.879763 5.173520 12.205480 25.269443 46.711040 82.348549
2025-06-29 0.382153 1.637691 4.788139 11.777215 25.118426 47.450168 85.138954
2025-07-06 0.291390 1.403397 4.377711 11.248768 24.739067 47.780543 87.275954
2025-07-13 0.266254 1.373228 4.444478 11.702885 26.177898 51.176819 94.392227
2025-07-20 0.263941 1.422568 4.712612 12.599888 28.482479 56.101042 104.094966
2025-07-27 0.250443 1.427434 4.868343 13.264827 30.376539 60.383974 112.863411
2025-08-03 0.214590 1.334704 4.758911 13.341867 31.150584 62.774417 118.607310
2025-08-10 0.170568 1.188597 4.482245 13.018590 31.126334 63.776856 122.088492